Jake Ferguson
TE · DALTIER 3VALUE RANK
#100
ADP
116.5
AUCTION
$4
12-team PPR · 2RB/2WR/1TE/1FLEX · $200 ▾
Replacement level — and therefore every VORP number — comes straight from these.
Teams12
QB1
RB2
WR2
TE1
FLEX1
Auction
PROJECTED PTS
146
DRAFT VALUE
-5
Projected statsSEASON TOTALS · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Receiving yards6 SOURCES
54533.0 / GM
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Polymarket
124.5+
91%
Polymarket
324.5+
79%
Caesars
500.5+
50%
DraftKings
524.5+
50%
Polymarket
524.5+
51%
BetRivers
525.5+
49%
Hard Rock
525.5+
49%
SugarHouse
525.5+
49%
Polymarket
724.5+
34%
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 5 season points BELOW TE12, the replacement-level starter at his position — a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 116.5 overall, 16 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▼The crowd is 61 spots higher on him than the market (crowd #93 vs market #154) — the money is more skeptical than public sentiment.
▼The market expects regression: #154 now after finishing #73 overall last season (TE5).
2025 week by weekFANTASY PTS · 59% STEADY WEEKS
Green bars are his best weeks; lightest bars fell below his floor (25th-pct). Band spans floor to ceiling (90th-pct).
WK
OPP
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
FPTS
1
PHI
6
5
23
0
7.3
2
NYG
12
9
78
0
16.8
3
CHI
14
13
82
0
21.2
4
GB
7
7
40
1
17.0
5
NYJ
9
7
49
2
23.9
6
CAR
3
3
33
1
12.3
7
WAS
7
7
29
2
21.9
8
DEN
1
0
0
0
0.0
9
ARI
7
5
50
0
8.0
WK
OPP
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
FPTS
11
LV
5
4
16
1
11.6
12
PHI
6
5
60
0
11.1
13
KC
6
5
36
0
8.6
14
DET
7
5
58
0
10.8
15
MIN
4
2
16
0
3.6
16
LAC
4
3
19
0
4.9
17
WAS
2
1
6
1
7.6
18
NYG
2
1
5
0
1.5
Season history
YR
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
PPG
FIN
2023
102
71
761
5
10.4
TE9
2024
86
59
494
0
7.5
TE25
2025
102
82
600
8
11.1
TE5