The betting market prices Luther Burden III at 11.5 PPR points per game for the 2026 season (190 points over 16.5 expected games), built from 12 live prop and prediction-market lines. 58% of that projection is priced directly from markets. The rest, receiving TDs, receptions, rushing TDs and 1 more, is filled from a consensus of 2 outside projection sources.
That makes him the #48 overall value on the board and a Tier 4 WR, worth 28 season points more than WR34, the replacement-level starter at his position. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 71.8. The room lets him fall about 24 picks past what the market says he's worth. The voting crowd ranks him #33 while the market has him #75, one of the larger disagreements on the board. The market prices a step forward: he finished as the WR49 in 2025.
NO MARKET LINES: BLENDED FROM EXTERNAL PROJECTION SOURCES
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Luther Burden III a good value at ADP 71.8?
Luther Burden III ranks #48 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 4 WR) against an industry-consensus ADP of 71.8. The room lets him fall about 24 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Luther Burden III's floor and ceiling?
Across 15 games in 2025, Luther Burden III's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 2.4 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 17.6, with a median week of 7.6. 67% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Luther Burden III's projection is priced from markets?
About 58% of Luther Burden III's 2026 season projection of 11.5 PPR points per game is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (12 on the page). The remainder (receiving TDs, receptions, rushing TDs and 1 more) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 28 season points more than WR34, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 3.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 71.8 overall, 24 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▼The crowd is 42 spots higher on him than the market (crowd #33 vs market #75); the market is more skeptical than public sentiment.
▲The market prices a breakout: #75 now after finishing #132 overall last season (WR49).
2025 week by week127.9 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 67% STEADY WEEKS