Sterling Shepard

WR · TBTIER 16
VALUE RANK
#278
ADP
AUCTION
12-team PPR · 2RB/2WR/1TE/1FLEX · $200

Replacement level — and therefore every VORP number — comes straight from these.

Teams12
QB1
RB2
WR2
TE1
FLEX1

Auction

PROJECTED PTS
95
DRAFT VALUE
-87
Projected statsSEASON TOTALS · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Rushing yardsMODEL EST.
44.22.7 / GM
44484
NO MARKET LINES — ESTIMATED FROM RECENT PRODUCTION & USAGE

Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Model est.” = filled from recent production.

Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
Projects 88 season points BELOW WR34, the replacement-level starter at his position — a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
The market is 35 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #237 vs crowd #272) — real money sees value the average drafter may be missing.
The market expects regression: #237 now after finishing #208 overall last season (WR80).
2025 week by weekFANTASY PTS · 62% STEADY WEEKS
CEIL11.5MED6.9FLOOR4.06.9WK17.4212.034.0411.957.167.571.886.11010.1114.2121.5131.514

Green bars are his best weeks; lightest bars fell below his floor (25th-pct). Band spans floor to ceiling (90th-pct).

WK
OPP
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
FPTS
1
ATL
6
3
39
0
6.9
2
HOU
4
4
34
0
7.4
3
NYJ
5
4
80
0
12.0
4
PHI
4
2
14
0
4.0
5
SEA
5
4
24
1
11.9
6
SF
3
2
51
0
7.1
7
DET
7
7
25
0
7.5
WK
OPP
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
FPTS
8
NO
2
1
8
0
1.8
10
NE
4
3
20
0
6.1
11
BUF
5
4
54
0
10.1
12
LA
5
3
12
0
4.2
13
ARI
2
1
5
0
1.5
14
NO
1
1
5
0
1.5
Season history
YR
TGT
REC
YDS
TD
PPG
FIN
2023
22
10
57
1
2.2
WR153
2024
51
32
334
1
6.2
WR92
2025
53
39
371
1
6.3
WR80
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