The betting market prices Tyler Warren at 8.8 PPR points per game for the 2026 season (145 points over 16.5 expected games), built from 17 live prop and prediction-market lines. 67% of that projection is priced directly from markets. The rest, receptions, is filled from a consensus of 2 outside projection sources.
That makes him the #39 overall value on the board and a Tier 2 TE, worth 34 season points more than TE12, the replacement-level starter at his position. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 58.8. The room lets him fall about 20 picks past what the market says he's worth. The voting crowd ranks him #42 while the market has him #84, one of the larger disagreements on the board. The market expects regression: he finished as the TE4 in 2025.
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Tyler Warren a good value at ADP 58.8?
Tyler Warren ranks #39 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 2 TE) against an industry-consensus ADP of 58.8. The room lets him fall about 20 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Tyler Warren's floor and ceiling?
Across 17 games in 2025, Tyler Warren's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 7.6 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 18.1, with a median week of 9.5. 77% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Tyler Warren's projection is priced from markets?
About 67% of Tyler Warren's 2026 season projection of 8.8 PPR points per game is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (17 on the page). The remainder (receptions) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 34 season points more than TE12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 55.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 58.8 overall, 20 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▼The crowd is 42 spots higher on him than the market (crowd #42 vs market #84); the market is more skeptical than public sentiment.
▼The market expects regression: #84 now after finishing #71 overall last season (TE4).
2025 week by week188.5 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 77% STEADY WEEKS