The betting market prices Trey McBride at 8.5 PPR points per game for the 2026 season (140 points over 16.5 expected games), built from 24 live prop and prediction-market lines. 34% of that projection is priced directly from markets. The rest, receiving yards and receptions, is filled from a consensus of 2 outside projection sources.
That makes him the #18 overall value on the board and a Tier 1 TE, worth 67 season points more than TE12, the replacement-level starter at his position. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 27.7. The room lets him fall about 10 picks past what the market says he's worth. The voting crowd ranks him #13 while the market has him #37, one of the larger disagreements on the board. The market expects regression: he finished as the TE1 in 2025.
NO MARKET LINES: BLENDED FROM EXTERNAL PROJECTION SOURCES
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Trey McBride a good value at ADP 27.7?
Trey McBride ranks #18 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 1 TE) against an industry-consensus ADP of 27.7. The room lets him fall about 10 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Trey McBride's floor and ceiling?
Across 17 games in 2025, Trey McBride's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 12.2 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 28.4, with a median week of 16.5. 71% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Trey McBride's projection is priced from markets?
About 34% of Trey McBride's 2026 season projection of 8.5 PPR points per game is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (24 on the page). The remainder (receiving yards and receptions) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 67 season points more than TE12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 44.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 27.7 overall, 10 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▼The crowd is 24 spots higher on him than the market (crowd #13 vs market #37); the market is more skeptical than public sentiment.
▼The market expects regression: #37 now after finishing #14 overall last season (TE1).
2025 week by week315.9 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 71% STEADY WEEKS