Pricing the matchup…
THE CALL · WEEK 1
Start Ja'Marr Chase54% to outscore Puka Nacua
HEAD-TO-HEAD
54%
how often Ja'Marr Chase outscores Puka Nacua in Week 1 (tick = coin flip)
My matchup
Tell us your matchup spot and the call re-frames: favored teams want the safer floor, underdogs the higher ceiling. The projections never change.
WR · CIN
20.6
PROJ THIS WEEK
Floor / ceiling12.0-29.3 pts
MatchupTB
ConfidenceHIGH
PROJECTED STAT LINE
Rush yards1.2
Rec yards88.1
Rec TDs0.7
Receptions7.4
Touchdowns0.7
WR · LAR
19.8
PROJ THIS WEEK
Floor / ceiling12.7-26.9 pts
MatchupSF
ConfidenceHIGH
PROJECTED STAT LINE
Rush yards
PROJ = market-implied points this week · floor/ceiling = the weekly p10-p90 band (projection ± 1.28σ). Confidence dot = how much of the projection is market-priced (green = mostly, orange = partial, gray = thin market). † = consensus estimate · * = model estimate (no market line). Click a player for every live line behind his projection.