Pricing the matchup…
THE CALL · WEEK 1
Start Mike Evans50% to outscore Josh Downs
HEAD-TO-HEAD
50%
how often Mike Evans outscores Josh Downs in Week 1 (tick = coin flip)
My matchup
Tell us your matchup spot and the call re-frames: favored teams want the safer floor, underdogs the higher ceiling. The projections never change.
WR · IND
11.0
PROJ THIS WEEK
Floor / ceiling5.6-16.4 pts
MatchupBAL
ConfidenceHIGH
PROJECTED STAT LINE
Rush yards0.6
Rec yards46.5
Rec TDs0.3
Receptions4.4
Touchdowns0.3
WR · SF
11.1
PROJ THIS WEEK
Floor / ceiling5.1-17.0 pts
Matchup@LAR
ConfidenceHIGH
PROJECTED STAT LINE
Rec yards
PROJ = market-implied points this week · floor/ceiling = the weekly p10-p90 band (projection ± 1.28σ). Confidence dot = how much of the projection is market-priced (green = mostly, orange = partial, gray = thin market). † = consensus estimate · * = model estimate (no market line). Click a player for every live line behind his projection.