The betting market prices Calvin Ridley at 4.5 PPR points per game for the 2026 season (74 points over 16.5 expected games), built from 9 live prop and prediction-market lines. 73% of that projection is priced directly from markets. The rest is filled in: receiving TDs and receptions from a consensus of 2 outside projection sources, while rushing TDs and rushing yards are model estimates from recent production.
That makes him the #295 overall value on the board and a Tier 14 WR, though he projects 52 season points below WR34, the replacement-level starter. His industry-consensus ADP sits at pick 169.7. The room takes him about 125 picks earlier than the market's price justifies. The voting crowd ranks him #322 while the market has him #338, one of the larger disagreements on the board. The market expects regression: he finished as the WR116 in 2025.
NO MARKET LINES: ESTIMATED FROM RECENT PRODUCTION & USAGE
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Calvin Ridley a good value at ADP 169.7?
Calvin Ridley ranks #295 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 14 WR) against an industry-consensus ADP of 169.7. The room takes him about 125 picks earlier than his market value, so he usually costs more than his projection suggests.
What is Calvin Ridley's floor and ceiling?
Across 7 games in 2025, Calvin Ridley's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 3.2 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 12.5, with a median week of 5.0. 57% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Calvin Ridley's projection is priced from markets?
About 73% of Calvin Ridley's 2026 season projection of 4.5 PPR points per game is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (9 on the page). The remainder (receiving TDs, receptions, rushing TDs and 1 more) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 52 season points BELOW WR34, the replacement-level starter at his position: a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▼The crowd is 16 spots higher on him than the market (crowd #322 vs market #338); the market is more skeptical than public sentiment.
▼The market expects regression: #338 now after finishing #286 overall last season (WR116).
2025 week by week47.3 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 57% STEADY WEEKS