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Davis Mills

QB · HOUTIER 11
VALUE RANK
#516
ADP
—
AUCTION
—
12-team PPR · 2RB/2WR/1TE/1FLEX · $200 ▾

Replacement level — and therefore every VORP number — comes straight from these.

Teams12
QB1
RB2
WR2
TE1
K1
DST1
FLEX1
Bench6

Auction

PROJECTED PTS
22
DRAFT VALUE
-245
Projected statsSEASON TOTALS · MARKET ODDS + CONSENSUS FALLBACK
Passing yardsCONSENSUS · 3 SOURCES
21613.1 / GM
range 157–397 across 3 sources
22216411
NO MARKET LINES — BLENDED FROM EXTERNAL PROJECTION SOURCES

Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.

Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 245 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position — a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▲The market is 26 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #456 vs crowd #482) — the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▼The market expects regression: #456 now after finishing #231 overall last season (QB41).
2025 week by week68.6 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 50% STEADY WEEKS
CEIL22.0MED10.3FLOOR3.51.2WK56.2927.71016.41114.5122.618

Green bars are his best weeks; lightest bars fell below his floor (25th-pct). Band spans floor to ceiling (90th-pct).

WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
5
BAL
23
0
0
3
1.2
9
DEN
137
0
0
7
6.2
10
JAX
292
2
1
20
27.7
WK
OPP
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
FPTS
11
TEN
274
1
0
14
16.4
12
BUF
153
2
0
4
14.5
18
IND
36
0
0
12
2.6
SEASON TOTAL68.6
Season history
YR
PYDS
PTD
INT
RUYDS
PPG
FIN
2023
173
2
0
9
3.6
QB59
2024
212
0
0
11
2.4
QB61
2025
915
5
1
60
11.4
QB41
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