No live markets price J.J. McCarthy for Week 2 yet, so his 12.7-point projection is a consensus/model estimate. Through 10 games his weekly range runs 6.5 to 22.3 points with a median of 11.5. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Projected statsWEEK 2 · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yardsMODEL EST.
163
NO MARKET LINES: ESTIMATED FROM RECENT PRODUCTION & USAGE
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is J.J. McCarthy a good value at ADP 169.5?
J.J. McCarthy ranks #501 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 10 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 169.5. The room takes him about 331 picks earlier than his market value, so he usually costs more than his projection suggests.
What is J.J. McCarthy's floor and ceiling?
Across 10 games in 2025, J.J. McCarthy's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 6.5 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 22.3, with a median week of 11.5. 50% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 2 projection of 12.7 points sits at or above that median.
How much of J.J. McCarthy's projection is priced from markets?
None yet. No live markets price J.J. McCarthy for the Week 2, so his 12.7-point PPR projection comes from our model rather than market prices.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 124 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position: a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▼The crowd is 85 spots higher on him than the market (crowd #235 vs market #320); the market is more skeptical than public sentiment.
▼The market expects regression: #320 now after finishing #140 overall last season (QB32).
2025 week by week125.4 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 50% STEADY WEEKS