Replacement level, and therefore every VORP number, comes straight from these.
Auction
The betting market prices Tyson Bagent at 15.2 PPR points for Week 4, from the live player-prop and game markets shown below. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
About 93% of Tyson Bagent's Week 4 projection of 15.2 PPR points is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (40 on the page). The remainder (rushing TDs) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Green bars are his best weeks; lightest bars fell below his floor (25th-pct). Band spans floor to ceiling (90th-pct).