No season props are currently posted on Adam Thielen, so his 2026 projection of 4.0 PPR points per game comes from our model rather than market prices.
That makes him the #302 overall value on the board and a Tier 15 WR, though he projects 53 season points below WR34, the replacement-level starter. The voting crowd ranks him #453 while the market has him #344, one of the larger disagreements on the board. The market expects regression: he finished as the WR120 in 2025.
Projected statsSEASON TOTALS · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Receiving yardsMODEL EST.
29517.9 / GM
NO MARKET LINES: ESTIMATED FROM RECENT PRODUCTION & USAGE
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
What is Adam Thielen's floor and ceiling?
Across 14 games in 2025, Adam Thielen's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 1.4 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 6.5, with a median week of 2.0. 71% of his weeks landed at or above his floor.
How much of Adam Thielen's projection is priced from markets?
None yet. No live markets price Adam Thielen for the 2026 season, so his 4.0-point PPR projection comes from our model rather than market prices.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 53 season points BELOW WR34, the replacement-level starter at his position: a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▲The market is 109 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #344 vs crowd #453); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▼The market expects regression: #344 now after finishing #297 overall last season (WR120).
2025 week by week39.6 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 71% STEADY WEEKS