No live markets price Marcus Mariota for Week 1 yet, so his 13.0-point projection is a consensus/model estimate. Through 10 games his weekly range runs 5.8 to 20.6 points with a median of 15.1. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Projected statsWEEK 1 · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yardsMODEL EST.
157
NO MARKET LINES: ESTIMATED FROM RECENT PRODUCTION & USAGE
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
What is Marcus Mariota's floor and ceiling?
Across 10 games in 2025, Marcus Mariota's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 5.8 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 20.6, with a median week of 15.1. 70% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 1 projection of 13 points sits below that median.
How much of Marcus Mariota's projection is priced from markets?
None yet. No live markets price Marcus Mariota for the Week 1, so his 13.0-point PPR projection comes from our model rather than market prices.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 212 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position: a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
2025 week by week125.5 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 70% STEADY WEEKS