The betting market prices Josh Allen at 19.4 PPR points for Week 1, from the live player-prop and game markets shown below. Through 16 games his weekly range runs 16.4 to 38.3 points with a median of 23.1. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Projected stats100% MARKET-PRICEDWEEK 1 · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards8 SOURCES
222
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
BetMGM
220.5+
50%
DraftKings
220.5+
50%
Fanatics
220.5+
50%
Caesars
221.5+
50%
FanDuel
221.5+
50%
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Josh Allen a good value at ADP 19.7?
Josh Allen ranks #14 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 1 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 19.7. The room lets him fall about 6 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Josh Allen's floor and ceiling?
Across 16 games in 2025, Josh Allen's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 16.4 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 38.3, with a median week of 23.1. 69% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 1 projection of 19.4 points sits below that median.
How much of Josh Allen's projection is priced from markets?
Josh Allen's Week 1 projection of 19.4 PPR points is priced entirely from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (44 on the page).
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 68 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 47.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 19.7 overall, 6 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 7 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #2 vs crowd #9); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
—Priced near last season's production: #2 now, finished #5 overall (QB1).
2025 week by week364.6 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 69% STEADY WEEKS