No live markets price Tua Tagovailoa for Week 2 yet, so his 13.9-point projection is a consensus/model estimate. Through 14 games his weekly range runs 6.7 to 21.5 points with a median of 9.9. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Projected statsWEEK 2 · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yardsMODEL EST.
226
NO MARKET LINES: ESTIMATED FROM RECENT PRODUCTION & USAGE
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Tua Tagovailoa a good value at ADP 169.9?
Tua Tagovailoa ranks #385 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 6 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 169.9. The room takes him about 215 picks earlier than his market value, so he usually costs more than his projection suggests.
What is Tua Tagovailoa's floor and ceiling?
Across 14 games in 2025, Tua Tagovailoa's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 6.7 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 21.5, with a median week of 9.9. 64% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 2 projection of 13.9 points sits at or above that median.
How much of Tua Tagovailoa's projection is priced from markets?
None yet. No live markets price Tua Tagovailoa for the Week 2, so his 13.9-point PPR projection comes from our model rather than market prices.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 66 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position: a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▲The market is 287 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #85 vs crowd #372); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #85 now after finishing #104 overall last season (QB25).
2025 week by week160.7 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 64% STEADY WEEKS