The betting market prices J.J. McCarthy at 13.7 PPR points for Week 7, from the live player-prop and game markets shown below. Through 10 games his weekly range runs 6.5 to 22.3 points with a median of 11.5. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Projected stats100% MARKET-PRICEDWEEK 7 · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards9 SOURCES
207
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Kalshi
149.5+
79%
Kalshi
174.5+
67%
Kalshi
199.5+
54%
Fanatics
200.5+
51%
Betr
202.5+
50%
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is J.J. McCarthy a good value at ADP 165.4?
J.J. McCarthy ranks #474 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 9 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 165.4. The room takes him about 309 picks earlier than his market value, so he usually costs more than his projection suggests.
What is J.J. McCarthy's floor and ceiling?
Across 10 games in 2025, J.J. McCarthy's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 6.5 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 22.3, with a median week of 11.5. 50% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 7 projection of 13.7 points sits at or above that median.
How much of J.J. McCarthy's projection is priced from markets?
J.J. McCarthy's Week 7 projection of 13.7 PPR points is priced entirely from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (69 on the page).
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 110 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position: a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▼The crowd is 44 spots higher on him than the market (crowd #214 vs market #258); the market is more skeptical than public sentiment.
▼The market expects regression: #258 now after finishing #140 overall last season (QB32).
2025 week by week125.4 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 50% STEADY WEEKS