The betting market prices Joe Burrow at 16.3 PPR points for Week 2, from the live player-prop and game markets shown below. Through 8 games his weekly range runs 8.4 to 25.0 points with a median of 19.8. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Projected stats100% MARKET-PRICEDWEEK 2 · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards9 SOURCES
244
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Kalshi
149.5+
87%
Kalshi
224.5+
60%
Fanatics
245.5+
51%
Hard Rock
246.5+
50%
DraftKings
247.5+
50%
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Joe Burrow a good value at ADP 52.8?
Joe Burrow ranks #211 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 4 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 52.8. The room takes him about 158 picks earlier than his market value, so he usually costs more than his projection suggests.
What is Joe Burrow's floor and ceiling?
Across 8 games in 2025, Joe Burrow's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 8.4 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 25.0, with a median week of 19.8. 63% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 2 projection of 16.3 points sits below that median.
How much of Joe Burrow's projection is priced from markets?
Joe Burrow's Week 2 projection of 16.3 PPR points is priced entirely from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (41 on the page).
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 24 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position: a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
—Crowd (#46) and market (#50) largely agree on him.
▲The market prices a breakout: #50 now after finishing #123 overall last season (QB29).
2025 week by week134.5 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 63% STEADY WEEKS