The betting market prices Justin Herbert at 17.9 PPR points for Week 2, from the live player-prop and game markets shown below. Through 16 games his weekly range runs 12.8 to 27.9 points with a median of 14.9. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Projected stats100% MARKET-PRICEDWEEK 2 · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards8 SOURCES
225
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Kalshi
199.5+
64%
Fanatics
220.5+
49%
Betr
222.5+
50%
Caesars
222.5+
50%
DraftKings
222.5+
50%
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Justin Herbert a good value at ADP 88.3?
Justin Herbert ranks #34 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 2 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 88.3. The room lets him fall about 54 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Justin Herbert's floor and ceiling?
Across 16 games in 2025, Justin Herbert's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 12.8 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 27.9, with a median week of 14.9. 88% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 2 projection of 17.9 points sits at or above that median.
How much of Justin Herbert's projection is priced from markets?
Justin Herbert's Week 2 projection of 17.9 PPR points is priced entirely from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (41 on the page).
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 56 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 19.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 88.3 overall, 54 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 93 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #10 vs crowd #103); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #10 now after finishing #22 overall last season (QB10).
2025 week by week286.9 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 88% STEADY WEEKS