The betting market prices Bo Nix at 16.0 PPR points for Week 1, from the live player-prop and game markets shown below. Through 17 games his weekly range runs 13.4 to 27.1 points with a median of 16.4. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Projected stats100% MARKET-PRICEDWEEK 1 · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards12 SOURCES
227
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Kalshi
149.5+
88%
Fanatics
220.5+
51%
Kalshi
224.5+
50%
Betr
225.5+
50%
BetMGM
226.5+
50%
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Bo Nix a good value at ADP 103.5?
Bo Nix ranks #74 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 2 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 103.5. The room lets him fall about 30 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Bo Nix's floor and ceiling?
Across 17 games in 2025, Bo Nix's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 13.4 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 27.1, with a median week of 16.4. 82% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 1 projection of 16 points sits below that median.
How much of Bo Nix's projection is priced from markets?
Bo Nix's Week 1 projection of 16.0 PPR points is priced entirely from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (99 on the page).
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 7 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 1.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 103.5 overall, 30 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 85 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #16 vs crowd #101); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
—Priced near last season's production: #16 now, finished #17 overall (QB7).
2025 week by week304.8 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 82% STEADY WEEKS