The betting market prices Bo Nix at 15.7 PPR points for Week 7, from the live player-prop and game markets shown below. Through 17 games his weekly range runs 13.4 to 27.1 points with a median of 16.4. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Projected stats100% MARKET-PRICEDWEEK 7 · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards9 SOURCES
198
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Kalshi
149.5+
70%
Kalshi
174.5+
56%
Kalshi
199.5+
30%
Fanatics
210.5+
51%
FanDuel
213.5+
50%
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Bo Nix a good value at ADP 118.8?
Bo Nix ranks #127 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 4 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 118.8. The room takes him about 8 picks earlier than his market value, so he usually costs more than his projection suggests.
What is Bo Nix's floor and ceiling?
Across 17 games in 2025, Bo Nix's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 13.4 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 27.1, with a median week of 16.4. 82% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 7 projection of 15.7 points sits below that median.
How much of Bo Nix's projection is priced from markets?
Bo Nix's Week 7 projection of 15.7 PPR points is priced entirely from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (87 on the page).
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 7 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position: a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▼Overvalued: the field takes him around 118.8 overall, 8 spots ahead of his value. Don't reach; let someone else pay up.
▲The market is 64 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #40 vs crowd #104); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▼The market expects regression: #40 now after finishing #17 overall last season (QB7).
2025 week by week304.8 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 82% STEADY WEEKS