The betting market prices Caleb Williams at 19.2 PPR points for Week 2, from the live player-prop and game markets shown below. Through 17 games his weekly range runs 11.8 to 26.7 points with a median of 19.0. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Projected stats100% MARKET-PRICEDWEEK 2 · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards9 SOURCES
231
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Kalshi
199.5+
65%
Kalshi
224.5+
55%
Betr
226.5+
50%
FanDuel
226.5+
50%
Caesars
228.5+
50%
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Caleb Williams a good value at ADP 72.4?
Caleb Williams ranks #47 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 3 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 72.4. The room lets him fall about 25 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Caleb Williams's floor and ceiling?
Across 17 games in 2025, Caleb Williams's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 11.8 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 26.7, with a median week of 19.0. 71% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 2 projection of 19.2 points sits at or above that median.
How much of Caleb Williams's projection is priced from markets?
Caleb Williams's Week 2 projection of 19.2 PPR points is priced entirely from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (52 on the page).
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 35 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 38.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 72.4 overall, 25 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 32 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #17 vs crowd #49); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
—Priced near last season's production: #17 now, finished #13 overall (QB5).
2025 week by week318.7 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 71% STEADY WEEKS