The betting market prices Jayden Daniels at 16.1 PPR points for Week 1, from the live player-prop and game markets shown below. Through 7 games his weekly range runs 16.2 to 20.7 points with a median of 17.7. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Jayden Daniels a good value at ADP 58.6?
Jayden Daniels ranks #41 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 2 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 58.6. The room lets him fall about 18 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Jayden Daniels's floor and ceiling?
Across 7 games in 2025, Jayden Daniels's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 16.2 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 20.7, with a median week of 17.7. 86% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 1 projection of 16.1 points sits below that median.
How much of Jayden Daniels's projection is priced from markets?
About 92% of Jayden Daniels's Week 1 projection of 16.1 PPR points is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (28 on the page). The remainder (rushing TDs) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 32 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 19.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 58.6 overall, 18 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 63 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #10 vs crowd #73); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #10 now after finishing #156 overall last season (QB34).
2025 week by week114.3 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 86% STEADY WEEKS