The betting market prices Jayden Daniels at 17.1 PPR points for Week 1, from the live player-prop and game markets shown below. Through 7 games his weekly range runs 16.2 to 20.7 points with a median of 17.7. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Projected stats100% MARKET-PRICEDWEEK 1 · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards13 SOURCES
201
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Kalshi
124.5+
89%
BetMGM
198.5+
50%
BetMGM
198.5+
50%
DraftKings
199.5+
50%
Kalshi
199.5+
50%
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Jayden Daniels a good value at ADP 62.6?
Jayden Daniels ranks #65 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 2 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 62.6. The room takes him about 2 picks earlier than his market value, so he usually costs more than his projection suggests.
What is Jayden Daniels's floor and ceiling?
Across 7 games in 2025, Jayden Daniels's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 16.2 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 20.7, with a median week of 17.7. 86% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 1 projection of 17.1 points sits below that median.
How much of Jayden Daniels's projection is priced from markets?
Jayden Daniels's Week 1 projection of 17.1 PPR points is priced entirely from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (102 on the page).
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 11 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 5.
—Priced about right: value and the field's ADP (~62.6) agree on him within a few spots.
▲The market is 70 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #14 vs crowd #84); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #14 now after finishing #156 overall last season (QB34).
2025 week by week114.3 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 86% STEADY WEEKS