The betting market prices Lamar Jackson at 19.0 PPR points for Week 4, from the live player-prop and game markets shown below. Through 13 games his weekly range runs 7.2 to 26.9 points with a median of 16.6. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Projected stats100% MARKET-PRICEDWEEK 4 · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards9 SOURCES
219
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Kalshi
149.5+
89%
Kalshi
174.5+
80%
Betr
213.5+
50%
FanDuel
213.5+
50%
Caesars
215.5+
50%
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Lamar Jackson a good value at ADP 41.2?
Lamar Jackson ranks #57 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 2 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 41.2. The room takes him about 16 picks earlier than his market value, so he usually costs more than his projection suggests.
What is Lamar Jackson's floor and ceiling?
Across 13 games in 2025, Lamar Jackson's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 7.2 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 26.9, with a median week of 16.6. 62% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 4 projection of 19 points sits at or above that median.
How much of Lamar Jackson's projection is priced from markets?
Lamar Jackson's Week 4 projection of 19.0 PPR points is priced entirely from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (70 on the page).
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 22 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 8.
▼Overvalued: the field takes him around 41.2 overall, 16 spots ahead of his value. Don't reach; let someone else pay up.
▲The market is 11 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #13 vs crowd #24); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #13 now after finishing #53 overall last season (QB20).
2025 week by week214.9 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 62% STEADY WEEKS