The betting market prices Lamar Jackson at 21.1 PPR points for Week 7, from the live player-prop and game markets shown below. Through 13 games his weekly range runs 7.2 to 26.9 points with a median of 16.6. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Lamar Jackson a good value at ADP 41.2?
Lamar Jackson ranks #58 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 2 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 41.2. The room takes him about 17 picks earlier than his market value, so he usually costs more than his projection suggests.
What is Lamar Jackson's floor and ceiling?
Across 13 games in 2025, Lamar Jackson's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 7.2 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 26.9, with a median week of 16.6. 62% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 7 projection of 21.1 points sits at or above that median.
How much of Lamar Jackson's projection is priced from markets?
About 74% of Lamar Jackson's Week 7 projection of 21.1 PPR points is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (2 on the page). The remainder (rushing TDs and rushing yards) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 21 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 7.
▼Overvalued: the field takes him around 41.2 overall, 17 spots ahead of his value. Don't reach; let someone else pay up.
▲The market is 13 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #13 vs crowd #26); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #13 now after finishing #53 overall last season (QB20).
2025 week by week214.9 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 62% STEADY WEEKS