No live markets price Michael Penix Jr. for Week 1 yet, so his 13.6-point projection is a consensus/model estimate. Through 9 games his weekly range runs 7.9 to 23.0 points with a median of 12.2. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Projected statsWEEK 1 · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yardsMODEL EST.
220
NO MARKET LINES: ESTIMATED FROM RECENT PRODUCTION & USAGE
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
What is Michael Penix Jr.'s floor and ceiling?
Across 9 games in 2025, Michael Penix Jr.'s weekly floor (25th percentile) was 7.9 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 23.0, with a median week of 12.2. 67% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 1 projection of 13.6 points sits at or above that median.
How much of Michael Penix Jr.'s projection is priced from markets?
None yet. No live markets price Michael Penix Jr. for the Week 1, so his 13.6-point PPR projection comes from our model rather than market prices.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 137 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position: a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▲The market is 283 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #147 vs crowd #430); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
—Priced near last season's production: #147 now, finished #147 overall (QB33).
2025 week by week120.3 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 67% STEADY WEEKS