The betting market prices Michael Penix Jr. at 14.4 PPR points for Week 7, from the live player-prop and game markets shown below. Through 9 games his weekly range runs 7.9 to 23.0 points with a median of 12.2. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Projected stats100% MARKET-PRICEDWEEK 7 · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards9 SOURCES
233
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Kalshi
149.5+
92%
Kalshi
174.5+
81%
Kalshi
199.5+
68%
Kalshi
224.5+
55%
BetMGM
227.5+
50%
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Michael Penix Jr. a good value at ADP 168.5?
Michael Penix Jr. ranks #232 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 5 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 168.5. The room takes him about 63 picks earlier than his market value, so he usually costs more than his projection suggests.
What is Michael Penix Jr.'s floor and ceiling?
Across 9 games in 2025, Michael Penix Jr.'s weekly floor (25th percentile) was 7.9 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 23.0, with a median week of 12.2. 67% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 7 projection of 14.4 points sits at or above that median.
How much of Michael Penix Jr.'s projection is priced from markets?
Michael Penix Jr.'s Week 7 projection of 14.4 PPR points is priced entirely from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (57 on the page).
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 37 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position: a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▲The market is 146 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #86 vs crowd #232); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #86 now after finishing #147 overall last season (QB33).
2025 week by week120.3 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 67% STEADY WEEKS