The betting market prices Trevor Lawrence at 17.9 PPR points for Week 1, from the live player-prop and game markets shown below. Through 17 games his weekly range runs 15.0 to 28.2 points with a median of 19.2. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Projected stats100% MARKET-PRICEDWEEK 1 · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards11 SOURCES
223
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Kalshi
149.5+
89%
Kalshi
174.5+
79%
Kalshi
199.5+
69%
Fanatics
230.5+
51%
DraftKings
232.5+
50%
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Trevor Lawrence a good value at ADP 92.5?
Trevor Lawrence ranks #64 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 2 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 92.5. The room lets him fall about 29 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Trevor Lawrence's floor and ceiling?
Across 17 games in 2025, Trevor Lawrence's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 15.0 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 28.2, with a median week of 19.2. 77% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 1 projection of 17.9 points sits below that median.
How much of Trevor Lawrence's projection is priced from markets?
Trevor Lawrence's Week 1 projection of 17.9 PPR points is priced entirely from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (87 on the page).
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 13 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 6.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 92.5 overall, 28 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 36 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #12 vs crowd #48); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
—Priced near last season's production: #12 now, finished #10 overall (QB4).
2025 week by week338.2 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 77% STEADY WEEKS