The betting market prices C.J. Stroud at 15.3 PPR points for Week 1, from the live player-prop and game markets shown below. Through 14 games his weekly range runs 10.6 to 22.9 points with a median of 13.7. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Projected stats100% MARKET-PRICEDWEEK 1 · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards8 SOURCES
223
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Betr
219.5+
50%
Fanatics
220.5+
49%
Caesars
222.5+
50%
DraftKings
222.5+
50%
Hard Rock
222.5+
50%
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is C.J. Stroud a good value at ADP 135.4?
C.J. Stroud ranks #76 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 3 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 135.4. The room lets him fall about 59 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is C.J. Stroud's floor and ceiling?
Across 14 games in 2025, C.J. Stroud's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 10.6 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 22.9, with a median week of 13.7. 79% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 1 projection of 15.3 points sits at or above that median.
How much of C.J. Stroud's projection is priced from markets?
C.J. Stroud's Week 1 projection of 15.3 PPR points is priced entirely from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (44 on the page).
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 7 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 23.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 135.4 overall, 59 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 100 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #23 vs crowd #123); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #23 now after finishing #58 overall last season (QB21).
2025 week by week208.5 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 79% STEADY WEEKS