The betting market prices C.J. Stroud at 15.4 PPR points for Week 1, from the live player-prop and game markets shown below. Through 14 games his weekly range runs 10.6 to 22.9 points with a median of 13.7. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Projected stats100% MARKET-PRICEDWEEK 1 · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards13 SOURCES
220
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Kalshi
124.5+
90%
Kalshi
149.5+
85%
Kalshi
199.5+
63%
BetRivers
214.5+
50%
Fanatics
215.5+
50%
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is C.J. Stroud a good value at ADP 148.4?
C.J. Stroud ranks #183 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 4 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 148.4. The room takes him about 35 picks earlier than his market value, so he usually costs more than his projection suggests.
What is C.J. Stroud's floor and ceiling?
Across 14 games in 2025, C.J. Stroud's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 10.6 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 22.9, with a median week of 13.7. 79% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 1 projection of 15.4 points sits at or above that median.
How much of C.J. Stroud's projection is priced from markets?
C.J. Stroud's Week 1 projection of 15.4 PPR points is priced entirely from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (96 on the page).
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 27 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position: a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▲The market is 106 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #35 vs crowd #141); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #35 now after finishing #58 overall last season (QB21).
2025 week by week208.5 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 79% STEADY WEEKS