The betting market prices Daniel Jones at 16.6 PPR points for Week 1, from the live player-prop and game markets shown below. Through 13 games his weekly range runs 15.5 to 23.1 points with a median of 16.7. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Projected stats100% MARKET-PRICEDWEEK 1 · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards12 SOURCES
233
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Kalshi
149.5+
91%
Kalshi
224.5+
57%
BetRivers
229.5+
50%
BetMGM
230.5+
50%
Fanatics
230.5+
49%
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Daniel Jones a good value at ADP 150.4?
Daniel Jones ranks #192 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 4 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 150.4. The room takes him about 42 picks earlier than his market value, so he usually costs more than his projection suggests.
What is Daniel Jones's floor and ceiling?
Across 13 games in 2025, Daniel Jones's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 15.5 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 23.1, with a median week of 16.7. 85% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 1 projection of 16.6 points sits below that median.
How much of Daniel Jones's projection is priced from markets?
Daniel Jones's Week 1 projection of 16.6 PPR points is priced entirely from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (96 on the page).
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 34 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position: a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▲The market is 137 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #40 vs crowd #177); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
—Priced near last season's production: #40 now, finished #41 overall (QB18).
2025 week by week226.4 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 85% STEADY WEEKS