Replacement level, and therefore every VORP number, comes straight from these.
Auction
The betting market prices Deshaun Watson at 13.8 PPR points for Week 4, from the live player-prop and game markets shown below. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Deshaun Watson ranks #288 in overall value on the 2025 PPR draft board (Tier 6 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 169.0. The room takes him about 119 picks earlier than his market value, so he usually costs more than his projection suggests.
About 96% of Deshaun Watson's Week 4 projection of 13.8 PPR points is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (26 on the page). The remainder (rushing TDs) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.