The betting market prices Joe Burrow at 19.0 PPR points for Week 4, from the live player-prop and game markets shown below. Through 8 games his weekly range runs 8.4 to 25.0 points with a median of 19.8. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Joe Burrow a good value at ADP 51.8?
Joe Burrow ranks #43 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 2 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 51.8. The room lets him fall about 9 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Joe Burrow's floor and ceiling?
Across 8 games in 2025, Joe Burrow's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 8.4 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 25.0, with a median week of 19.8. 63% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 4 projection of 19 points sits below that median.
How much of Joe Burrow's projection is priced from markets?
About 98% of Joe Burrow's Week 4 projection of 19.0 PPR points is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (58 on the page). The remainder (rushing TDs) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 29 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 15.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 51.8 overall, 9 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 32 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #12 vs crowd #44); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #12 now after finishing #123 overall last season (QB29).
2025 week by week134.5 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 63% STEADY WEEKS