The betting market prices Aaron Rodgers at 13.3 PPR points for Week 4, from the live player-prop and game markets shown below. Through 16 games his weekly range runs 10.2 to 22.0 points with a median of 14.2. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Aaron Rodgers a good value at ADP 139.8?
Aaron Rodgers ranks #192 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 4 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 139.8. The room takes him about 52 picks earlier than his market value, so he usually costs more than his projection suggests.
What is Aaron Rodgers's floor and ceiling?
Across 16 games in 2025, Aaron Rodgers's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 10.2 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 22.0, with a median week of 14.2. 69% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 4 projection of 13.3 points sits below that median.
How much of Aaron Rodgers's projection is priced from markets?
About 98% of Aaron Rodgers's Week 4 projection of 13.3 PPR points is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (21 on the page). The remainder (rushing TDs) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 24 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position: a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▲The market is 191 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #63 vs crowd #254); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▼The market expects regression: #63 now after finishing #40 overall last season (QB17).
2025 week by week227.1 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 69% STEADY WEEKS