The betting market prices Brock Purdy at 17.2 PPR points for Week 1, from the live player-prop and game markets shown below. Through 9 games his weekly range runs 16.8 to 32.1 points with a median of 17.7. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Projected stats100% MARKET-PRICEDWEEK 1 · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards12 SOURCES
241
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Kalshi
149.5+
91%
Kalshi
174.5+
83%
Kalshi
199.5+
72%
Kalshi
224.5+
59%
theScore Bet
234.5+
51%
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Brock Purdy a good value at ADP 97.1?
Brock Purdy ranks #66 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 2 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 97.1. The room lets him fall about 31 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Brock Purdy's floor and ceiling?
Across 9 games in 2025, Brock Purdy's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 16.8 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 32.1, with a median week of 17.7. 78% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 1 projection of 17.2 points sits below that median.
How much of Brock Purdy's projection is priced from markets?
Brock Purdy's Week 1 projection of 17.2 PPR points is priced entirely from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (98 on the page).
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 10 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 4.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 97.1 overall, 31 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 66 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #15 vs crowd #81); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #15 now after finishing #88 overall last season (QB23).
2025 week by week177.4 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 78% STEADY WEEKS