The betting market prices Drake Maye at 17.4 PPR points for Week 1, from the live player-prop and game markets shown below. Through 17 games his weekly range runs 16.0 to 26.7 points with a median of 20.5. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Drake Maye a good value at ADP 48.6?
Drake Maye ranks #40 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 2 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 48.6. The room lets him fall about 9 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Drake Maye's floor and ceiling?
Across 17 games in 2025, Drake Maye's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 16.0 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 26.7, with a median week of 20.5. 94% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 1 projection of 17.4 points sits below that median.
How much of Drake Maye's projection is priced from markets?
About 94% of Drake Maye's Week 1 projection of 17.4 PPR points is priced directly from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (28 on the page). The remainder (rushing TDs) is filled from a consensus of outside projection sources or a model estimate where no market prices that stat.
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 32 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 24.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 48.6 overall, 9 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 55 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #9 vs crowd #64); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
—Priced near last season's production: #9 now, finished #8 overall (QB2).
2025 week by week352.0 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 94% STEADY WEEKS