The betting market prices Jalen Hurts at 19.7 PPR points for Week 1, from the live player-prop and game markets shown below. Through 16 games his weekly range runs 13.9 to 27.2 points with a median of 19.4. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Projected stats100% MARKET-PRICEDWEEK 1 · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards13 SOURCES
212
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Kalshi
149.5+
85%
Kalshi
174.5+
71%
Kalshi
199.5+
57%
Fanatics
205.5+
51%
Betonlineag
209.5+
50%
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Jalen Hurts a good value at ADP 60.8?
Jalen Hurts ranks #50 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 2 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 60.8. The room lets him fall about 11 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Jalen Hurts's floor and ceiling?
Across 16 games in 2025, Jalen Hurts's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 13.9 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 27.2, with a median week of 19.4. 69% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 1 projection of 19.7 points sits at or above that median.
How much of Jalen Hurts's projection is priced from markets?
Jalen Hurts's Week 1 projection of 19.7 PPR points is priced entirely from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (100 on the page).
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 27 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 21.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 60.8 overall, 11 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 45 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #6 vs crowd #51); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #6 now after finishing #19 overall last season (QB8).
2025 week by week301.1 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 69% STEADY WEEKS