The betting market prices Jordan Love at 16.6 PPR points for Week 1, from the live player-prop and game markets shown below. Through 15 games his weekly range runs 10.1 to 26.1 points with a median of 15.0. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Projected stats100% MARKET-PRICEDWEEK 1 · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards12 SOURCES
238
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Kalshi
149.5+
91%
Kalshi
174.5+
83%
Kalshi
199.5+
73%
Kalshi
224.5+
56%
Fanatics
230.5+
51%
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Jordan Love a good value at ADP 138.5?
Jordan Love ranks #169 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 4 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 138.5. The room takes him about 30 picks earlier than his market value, so he usually costs more than his projection suggests.
What is Jordan Love's floor and ceiling?
Across 15 games in 2025, Jordan Love's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 10.1 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 26.1, with a median week of 15.0. 67% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 1 projection of 16.6 points sits at or above that median.
How much of Jordan Love's projection is priced from markets?
Jordan Love's Week 1 projection of 16.6 PPR points is priced entirely from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (88 on the page).
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 24 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position: a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▼Overvalued: the field takes him around 138.5 overall, 31 spots ahead of his value. Don't reach; let someone else pay up.
▲The market is 122 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #31 vs crowd #153); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
—Priced near last season's production: #31 now, finished #36 overall (QB15).
2025 week by week235.1 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 67% STEADY WEEKS