The betting market prices Jared Goff at 18.2 PPR points for Week 1, from the live player-prop and game markets shown below. Through 17 games his weekly range runs 12.7 to 25.9 points with a median of 16.8. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Projected stats100% MARKET-PRICEDWEEK 1 · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards13 SOURCES
262
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Kalshi
174.5+
90%
Kalshi
199.5+
82%
Kalshi
249.5+
56%
Fanatics
255.5+
50%
BetMGM
259.5+
50%
Click a stat to see its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Jared Goff a good value at ADP 116.8?
Jared Goff ranks #104 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 3 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 116.8. The room lets him fall about 13 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Jared Goff's floor and ceiling?
Across 17 games in 2025, Jared Goff's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 12.7 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 25.9, with a median week of 16.8. 77% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 1 projection of 18.2 points sits at or above that median.
How much of Jared Goff's projection is priced from markets?
Jared Goff's Week 1 projection of 18.2 PPR points is priced entirely from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (77 on the page).
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 2 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position: a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 116.8 overall, 13 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 46 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #22 vs crowd #68); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
—Priced near last season's production: #22 now, finished #20 overall (QB9).
2025 week by week297.1 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 77% STEADY WEEKS