The betting market prices Tyler Shough at 17.6 PPR points for Week 1, from the live player-prop and game markets shown below. Through 11 games his weekly range runs 8.6 to 21.8 points with a median of 17.4. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Projected stats100% MARKET-PRICEDWEEK 1 · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards8 SOURCES
243
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
BetMGM
238.5+
50%
Fanatics
240.5+
49%
Caesars
241.5+
50%
Hard Rock
241.5+
50%
DraftKings
242.5+
50%
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Tyler Shough a good value at ADP 127.2?
Tyler Shough ranks #98 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 3 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 127.2. The room lets him fall about 29 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Tyler Shough's floor and ceiling?
Across 11 games in 2025, Tyler Shough's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 8.6 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 21.8, with a median week of 17.4. 64% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 1 projection of 17.6 points sits at or above that median.
How much of Tyler Shough's projection is priced from markets?
Tyler Shough's Week 1 projection of 17.6 PPR points is priced entirely from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (46 on the page).
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▼Projects 1 season points BELOW QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position: a bench body in a league this size, not a starter.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 127.2 overall, 29 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 144 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #32 vs crowd #176); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▲The market prices a breakout: #32 now after finishing #105 overall last season (QB26).
2025 week by week158.0 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 64% STEADY WEEKS