The betting market prices Matthew Stafford at 17.3 PPR points for Week 7, from the live player-prop and game markets shown below. Through 17 games his weekly range runs 13.6 to 27.4 points with a median of 22.9. Draft value, ADP, and history further down are season-long context.
Projected stats100% MARKET-PRICEDWEEK 7 · IMPLIED BY MARKET ODDS
Passing yards9 SOURCES
261
SOURCE
LINE
PRICE
Kalshi
174.5+
94%
Kalshi
199.5+
82%
Kalshi
224.5+
66%
Kalshi
249.5+
46%
Fanatics
265.5+
51%
Tap a stat tile for its sources & distribution. Curve is a normal fit to book & prediction-market lines (dots). “Consensus” = blended from external projection sources where no market prices the stat. “Model est.” = filled from recent production.
Frequently asked
Is Matthew Stafford a good value at ADP 110.5?
Matthew Stafford ranks #89 in overall value on the 2026 PPR draft board (Tier 3 QB) against an industry-consensus ADP of 110.5. The room lets him fall about 22 picks past his market value, so he tends to be available later than his projection suggests.
What is Matthew Stafford's floor and ceiling?
Across 17 games in 2025, Matthew Stafford's weekly floor (25th percentile) was 13.6 PPR points and his ceiling (90th percentile) was 27.4, with a median week of 22.9. 65% of his weeks landed at or above his floor. His Week 7 projection of 17.3 points sits below that median.
How much of Matthew Stafford's projection is priced from markets?
Matthew Stafford's Week 7 projection of 17.3 PPR points is priced entirely from live player-prop and prediction-market lines (57 on the page).
Value signalsWHY THE BOARD RANKS HIM HERE
▲Worth 1 season points more than QB12, the replacement-level starter at his position in this league, and the next tier down costs another 13.
▲Undervalued: the field drafts him around 110.5 overall, 21 spots later than his value warrants. Let him slide to you.
▲The market is 41 spots higher on him than the crowd (market #28 vs crowd #69); the market sees value the average drafter may be missing.
▼The market expects regression: #28 now after finishing #9 overall last season (QB3).
2025 week by week350.4 FANTASY PTS TOTAL · 65% STEADY WEEKS